Trumpism
US preparing to strike Iran?
The Trump administration appears close to launching military strikes on Iran. The US is amassing a large strike force in the Middle East, including two aircraft carriers, over a dozen warships, and advanced fighter jets, suggesting preparations for a prolonged war. After first threatening military action in January following a protest crackdown in Iran that killed thousands, US officials now say a decision could come within days or weeks, depending on the outcome of now-stalled negotiations over Iran's uranium enrichment and missile development programs. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said any deal must dismantle both programs. Iran's leaders may view forfeiting these means of deterrence against foreign intervention as more dangerous than a war.
Vanuatu: UN member states must meet climate obligations
Amnesty International on Feb. 13 urged governments to take robust action and fulfil their obligations regarding climate change under international law. The statement follows Vanuatu's circulation of a draft resolution on the matter to all UN member states.
Milei offers Trump part of Tierra del Fuego?
In a move sparking outrage from the country's nationalist and Peronist opposition, Argentina's central government under President Javier Milei has taken control of the port of Ushuaia—the country's southernmost seaport and a key gateway to Antarctica. Milei's move places operation and administration of the port under the National Ports & Navigation Agency (ANPyN), a body of the executive branch, for one year—over the objections of the Tierra del Fuego provincial government. Milei, in turn, says corruption by the local authorities mandated the move.
Lunar hubris and the end of the Earth
Plans by Trump's fascist tech bros as well as Putin and Xi to build AI-run nuclear reactors on the Moon open jurisdictional dilemmas that far outpace the modest UN efforts to put a regulation regime in place for artificial intelligence. These plans are unveiled just as the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moves the symbolic hands
Amnesty International condemns US attack on Venezuela
Amnesty International on Feb. 3 condemned both the January attack by the US military on Venezuela and the abuses long committed by the ousted Maduro government.
Danish veterans stage silent protest at US embassy
Doomsday Clock moves: 85 seconds to midnight
The Science & Security Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on Jan. 27 moved the symbolic hands of the Doomsday Clock to an unprecedented 85 seconds to midnight. The decision came a year after the clock was set to an also unprecedented 89 seconds to midnight—and three years after it was moved to 90 seconds to midnight. Each increment since 2017, when it was set at 2.5 minutes of midnight, has brought the Clock closer to doomsday than ever before. This year's statement reads: "A year ago, we warned that the world was perilously close to global disaster and that any delay in reversing course increased the probability of catastrophe. Rather than heed this warning, Russia, China, the United States, and other major countries have instead become increasingly aggressive, adversarial, and nationalistic. Hard-won global understandings are collapsing, accelerating a winner-takes-all great power competition and undermining the international cooperation critical to reducing the risks of nuclear war, climate change, the misuse of biotechnology, the potential threat of artificial intelligence, and other apocalyptic dangers." (BAS, NYT, The Guardian)
Podcast: twilight of Rojava?
A last-minute "permanent ceasefire" may mean that northeast Syria is back from the brink of Arab-Kurdish ethnic war. But ceasefires have repeatedly broken down since fighting resumed earlier this year, with Damascus demanding disbandment of the Rojava autonomous zone, and the integration of its institutions—including its military wing, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)—into the central government. While the new pact sets a more "gradual" pace for this integration, the Kurdish aspiration to regional autonomy and the central government's insistence on centralization may prove a long-term obstacle to peace. In Episode 315 of the CounterVortex podcast, Bill Weinberg weighs the odds for avoiding a conflict that holds the potential for escalation to genocide, with the connivance of the Great Powers that so recently backed the SDF to fight ISIS.












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