Absent Trump looms large over COP30

Following another year of record temperatures and powerful storms, world leaders are gathering in Belém, Brazil, ahead of the official opening of the COP30 climate talks. But the leaders attending—notably, they do not include US President Donald Trump—will be confronted by the fraying global consensus on climate change, amid difficult geopolitical headwinds. A major risk to multilateral climate action is the presidency of Trump, who has described global warming as the world's "greatest con job.” Reuters reported that some European officials have been bracing for a possible intervention by the Trump administration —despite the country's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement. The US recently torpedoed a carbon levy on shipping, and the European officials are worried that the Trump administration could make threats with tariffs or visa restrictions to influence the COP talks too. "If they pull the same tactics, I think there's zero chance of having any sort of rallying around the Paris Agreement in response," one official told Reuters.

From The New Humanitarian, Nov. 7

See our last report on the UN climate process.

Record annual rise in atmospheric CO2 levels

The United Nations warned Wednesday that CO2 levels in the atmosphere saw their biggest annual jump on record in 2024, driven by fossil fuel emissions, wildfires and weakening natural absorption by land and oceans. The World Meteorological Organization said the increase in CO2 levels in the atmosphere from 2023 to 2024 marked the biggest one-year jump since records began in 1957.

The WMO voiced "significant concern" that the land and oceans were becoming unable to soak up CO2, leaving the greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. It warned that the planet could be witnessing a so-called "vicious cycle" of climate feedback–whereby increasing greenhouse gas emissions fuel rising temperatures and trigger wildfires that release more CO2, while warmer oceans cannot absorb as much CO2 from the air. (France24)

Brazil approves Amazon drilling ahead of COP30

Despite Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's much-vaunted ambitions to lead the fight against climate change and the deforestation that has ravaged the Amazon, Lula continues to look to the oil industry to build Brazil's wealth. He argues that the money generated from oil exports will help finance the country's transition to cleaner energy.  (France24)

Brazil's minister for the environment and climate change, Marina Silva is defending the decision by the national environmental agency IBAMA to authorize state oil giant Petrobras to explore the Foz do Amazonas sedimentary basin–near the mouth of the Amazon River. The license to drill wells in block FZA-M-59, in the area of the Brazilian coast known as the Equatorial Margin, was granted Oct. 20. (BdF)

Brazil urged to remove illegal ranches in Amazon

Human Rights Watch released a report Oct. 15 highlighting the devastation caused by illegal cattle ranching in the Brazilian rainforest, and especially its impact on Indigenous peoples in the state of Pará. The organization called on the federal government to remove the cattle ranches and restore affected communities. It also urged JBS, the world's largest meat-processing company, to take responsibility for its role in deforestation. (Jurist)